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Measurement paper · ablation, type-token ratio and the shipped pair

What the model keys on

Deleting every word on the “AI vocabulary” list from a machine document costs the detector 0.8 percentage points. Making the same document repeat itself more costs 33. Repetition is the axis the detector reads, and the commercial consequence is that deliberately keyword-dense copy is the condition it handles worst.

On this page
  1. The finding
  2. Three lines, three operating points
  3. The property itself
  4. The causal test
  5. The cliff
  6. The correction the source made
  7. At the point that ships
  8. Which human writers are at risk
  9. What this does not prove
  10. What follows commercially
  11. Provenance
Published
30 August 2026
Measured
Figures re-verified against source 30 August 2026
Operating points
Three: 0.984 and 0.9845 both retired, 0.9855 / 0.9763 shipped
Signal set
122 interpretable features; segmentation contract segments-v3
Corpus
670 long-form pairs, 400 + 400 ablation documents, 432 generated keyword samples, 922 long-form and 816 short-form machine documents

01 / The finding

Machine prose repeats itself less, and that is the axis the detector reads

Deleting every word and phrase on the “AI vocabulary” list from a machine document costs the detector 0.8 percentage points. Making the same document repeat itself more costs it 33.

400 machine long-form documents, one alteration at a time. Measured at the retired 0.984 single threshold, not at the pair that ships today.
Median machine document2.1%

Share of content words repeated from the neighbouring sentence. The median human document shares 6.3%, three times as much.

Cost of deleting the keyword list−0.8 pp

A detector that could be beaten by find-and-replace is a different detector from this one.

Keyword-dense copy, at the shipped pair43.5%

188 of 432 flagged, against 69.4% for ordinary short-form and 95.8% for long-form.

The median machine document shares 2.1% of its content words with the sentence beside it; the median human document shares 6.3%. That single property, read through several instruments, is what the detector keys on. A person introduces a term and keeps using it. A model introduces a term and reaches for a synonym, a pronoun, a rephrasing.

The commercial consequence is awkward and belongs on the page rather than in a footnote. Deliberately keyword-dense copy is the condition the detector handles worst. At the shipped operating point it flags 188 of 432 such documents, 43.5%, against 566 of 816 ordinary short-form documents at 69.4% and 883 of 922 long-form documents at 95.8%.

02 / Reading the figures

Three lines of evidence, at three different operating points

This page reconciles measurements taken at three points in the project’s history. The honest way to present them is to label each one rather than to average them into a single narrative, so every figure below carries the point it was taken at, in its prose, in its caption and in a stamp above it.

The four lines of evidence on this page, with the corpus, runtime and operating point of each
LineWhat it isCorpusRuntimeOperating point
Descriptive 122 interpretable features over labelled documents 670 fresh long-form pairs, drawn from a 25,723-document study corpus None — feature statistics, computed without a model None applies
Causal One-at-a-time alterations re-scored through the deployed artefact 400 machine and 400 human long-form documents fp32, deployed artefact 0.984 single threshold — retired
Observational Detection binned by achieved type-token ratio 432 generated samples, two models, lengths held constant fp32 server 0.9845 maximum-only — retired
Shipped The keyword-repetition arm re-scored at the pair that runs today 432 machine documents Python onnxruntime 1.29.0, CPU, fp32, segments-v3 0.9855 / 0.9763, T = 0.8324 — ships today

The two retired points are quoted because the experiments were run there and have not been repeated. A figure taken at 0.984 or at 0.9845 is not a description of the tool as it runs today. Only the last row describes current behaviour.

The shipped pair, 0.9855 / 0.9763
A document is flagged when its strongest section reaches 0.9855, or its second-strongest reaches 0.9763, at a fitted temperature of 0.8324. Two pieces of evidence, either of which is enough on its own.
0.984, retired
A single threshold on the strongest section, with no second-evidence route. The ablation in section 04 was run against it and has not been re-run.
0.9845, retired
A maximum-only candidate rule the segmentation work was scored against. The type-token-ratio bins in section 05 were measured there.
Wilson interval
The 95% confidence interval printed on every rate. It is asymmetric near 0 and 100, which is why it is used here in place of the textbook normal interval that would run past both.

03 / The property

The property itself, read six ways

On 670 register-matched fresh long-form pairs, eight of the ten strongest interpretable signals measure one behaviour.

The strongest interpretable signals on 670 fresh long-form pairs
SignalAUROCDetection at a 1% human false-positive budgetMedian machineMedian human
Content-word overlap between neighbouring sentences0.91223.1%0.0210.063
Vocabulary variety in a 100-word window (MATTR)0.91147.3%0.7760.694
Type-token ratio, first 400 words0.87617.0%0.5950.503
Distinct word triples / word triples0.83916.4%0.9790.938
Distinct word pairs / word pairs0.83019.7%0.8780.797
Word-unigram entropy0.78811.8%8.287.78
Share of vocabulary used exactly once0.7823.9%0.6750.618

Measurement conditions

Corpus
670 machine and 670 human fresh long-form pairs, register-matched, drawn from a 25,723-document study corpus.
Runtime
No model and no runtime. Every value in the table above is a statistic computed over text.
Measured
Re-verified against source 30 August 2026
Also
The detection column is single-feature detection at a fixed 1% human false-positive budget, not anything the product does. Source: SIGNAL-SCIENCE.md §2.

Wider vocabulary per unit length, and less overlap between neighbouring sentences. That is the same behaviour observed six ways, and it inverts the popular belief. Machine writing is widely called repetitive; on published long-form prose the opposite is measurably true. What people are noticing when they call it repetitive is structural sameness, parallel paragraph shapes and similar sentence openings, which is not lexical repetition.

04 / The causal test

What actually moves the score

400 machine and 400 human long-form documents were each altered one way at a time and re-scored through the deployed artefact. These figures were measured at the retired 0.984 single threshold, so the absolute rates describe a configuration that no longer runs. The deltas are the point.

Measured at a rule that no longer ships

Corpus
400 machine and 400 human long-form documents, each altered one way at a time and re-scored. Unaltered baseline: 90.0% of machine documents flagged, 2.25% of human documents.
Retired flag point
0.984
Detector
tier3-cycle2-e5small-fp32.onnx, SHA-256 e313ab00de1fffd2…4d2788d
Runtime
fp32, deployed artefact
Measured
Re-verified against source 30 August 2026
Also
A single threshold on the strongest section, with no second-evidence route. Source: SIGNAL-SCIENCE.md §4.1.

The rule that ships today is 0.9855 / 0.9763. The figures under this stamp answer the same question at a flag point this tool no longer uses, and they are not a description of the tool as it runs now.

Figure 1 One alteration at a time: change in the share of machine documents flagged 400 machine and 400 human long-form documents. Unaltered baseline 90.0% flagged. Measured at the retired 0.984 single threshold, not at the shipped pair, so the bars are changes to a rate this tool no longer produces. The three orange bars are not comparable with the content manipulations beside them: truncation destroys most of the text, and flattening the rhythm produces prose unlike anything in any training distribution, so a large shift there may be a distribution-shift artefact rather than evidence about the property named. The right-hand column is the human false-positive rate under the same alteration.
Change in the share of machine long-form documents flagged, in percentage points, under twelve one-at-a-time alterations −80 −60 −40 −20 0 Human FP Lowercase everything 0.0 2.25% Delete every “AI vocabulary” word −0.8 1.50% Drop the first paragraph −1.0 1.75% Shuffle the paragraphs −3.0 1.75% Strip all markdown −4.8 2.00% Shuffle the sentences −5.0 1.50% Normalise all punctuation −5.0 2.25% Strip markdown and normalise punctuation −16.8 2.50% Truncate to 200 words −30.2 0.75% Make the text repeat itself more −33.0 0.25% Flatten the rhythm −43.2 0.00% Truncate to 100 words −81.5 0.00% no change
Content manipulation Truncation or rhythm flattening — not comparable
Machine detection, change in percentage points, and human false positives under each alteration
Change appliedMachine flaggedChangeHuman false positives
Unaltered90.0%2.25%
Lowercase everything 90.0% 0.0 pp 2.25%
Delete every “AI vocabulary” word 89.2% −0.8 pp 1.50%
Drop the first paragraph 89.0% −1.0 pp 1.75%
Shuffle the paragraphs 87.0% −3.0 pp 1.75%
Strip all markdown 85.2% −4.8 pp 2.00%
Shuffle the sentences 85.0% −5.0 pp 1.50%
Normalise all punctuation 85.0% −5.0 pp 2.25%
Strip markdown and normalise punctuation 73.2% −16.8 pp 2.50%
Truncate to 200 words 59.8% −30.2 pp 0.75%
Make the text repeat itself more 57.0% −33.0 pp 0.25%
Flatten the rhythm 46.8% −43.2 pp 0.00%
Truncate to 100 words 8.5% −81.5 pp 0.00%

SIGNAL-SCIENCE.md §4.1. Two further conditions in that table are quoted in the prose rather than plotted: truncating to 400 words costs 0.2 points and reducing repetition further costs 6.8. The human column is reproduced for the twelve conditions plotted here.

The keyword list is not what the model is reading. Removing every one of those words and phrases costs 0.8 points. Two further conditions in the same table make the same case from the other side: truncating to 400 words costs 0.2 points, and reducing repetition further costs 6.8.

Replacing a quarter of content words with the document’s own most frequent content words changes nothing about length, sentence structure or function words. It only makes the text repeat itself more, and it drops detection by 33 points. That is the manipulation aimed directly at the descriptive finding above, and the two lines agree.

The half of the table that is easy to skip

The human column matters as much as the machine one. Under the repetition manipulation human false positives fall from 2.25% to 0.25%, and under truncation to zero. The model goes quiet rather than reckless: the alterations that stop it finding machine text also stop it accusing people.

Figure 2 Human false positives under the two alterations that move the machine rate furthest 400 human long-form documents, the same corpus and the same run as Figure 1, measured at the retired 0.984 single threshold. Counts are printed beside each condition. Nothing here describes the tool at the shipped pair.
Human false-positive rate on 400 human long-form documents, unaltered and under two alterations 0% 0.5% 1% 1.5% 2% 2.5% Unaltered 9 / 400 2.25% Text made to repeat itself more 1 / 400 0.25% Truncated to 100 words 0 / 400 0.00%
Show the numbers this was drawn from
Human false positives on 400 human long-form documents under three conditions
ConditionHuman documents flaggedRate
Unaltered9 / 4002.25%
Text made to repeat itself more1 / 4000.25%
Truncated to 100 words0 / 4000.00%

SIGNAL-SCIENCE.md §4.1, human column. The full column for all twelve alterations is in the table under Figure 1.

05 / The cliff

Repetition, tested deliberately rather than observed

432 samples were then generated with repetition as the only variable: two models balanced, lengths held identical to an existing pilot, and one instruction style in two strengths telling the model to repeat an exact keyword phrase and keep a narrow vocabulary. That is ordinary search-optimisation practice rather than an evasion technique. These figures were measured at the retired 0.9845 maximum-only threshold.

Measured at a rule that no longer ships

Corpus
432 generated samples, two OpenAI models balanced, pooled across every condition and binned by achieved type-token ratio at 400 and 600 words only.
Retired flag point
0.9845
Detector
tier3-cycle2-e5small-fp32.onnx, SHA-256 e313ab00de1fffd2…4d2788d
Runtime
fp32 server
Measured
Re-verified against source 30 August 2026
Also
A maximum-only candidate rule, with no second-evidence route. Source: SHORT-FORM-RETRAIN.md §10.3.

The rule that ships today is 0.9855 / 0.9763. The figures under this stamp answer the same question at a flag point this tool no longer uses, and they are not a description of the tool as it runs now.

Figure 3 Detection against achieved type-token ratio: flat to 0.55, then away 400 and 600 words only, so that length is held to the long bands. Two OpenAI models. Denominators under every column, Wilson 95% intervals on every bin. Measured at the retired 0.9845 maximum-only threshold, not at the shipped pair. The shaded region is where the knee lies; it is not where the knee has been located.
Share of generated machine documents detected, by achieved type-token ratio bin, at the retired 0.9845 maximum-only threshold the knee is bracketed here, not located — the 0.46–0.50 bin holds 33 documents 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Detected 20.4% 0.00–0.42 10 / 49 15.9% 0.42–0.46 7 / 44 57.6% 0.46–0.50 19 / 33 79.5% 0.50–0.55 89 / 112 88.1% 0.55–0.60 baseline 600-word median 0.568 148 / 168 87.2% 0.60–0.65 129 / 148 86.5% 0.65–1.00 77 / 89
Detection by achieved type-token ratio bin, with Wilson 95% intervals
Type-token rationDetectedRate [95% CI]
0.00–0.42 49 10 20.4% [11.5–33.6]
0.42–0.46 44 7 15.9% [7.9–29.4]
0.46–0.50 33 19 57.6% [40.8–72.8]
0.50–0.55 112 89 79.5% [71.1–85.9]
0.55–0.60 168 148 88.1% [82.3–92.2]
0.60–0.65 148 129 87.2% [80.8–91.6]
0.65–1.00 89 77 86.5% [77.9–92.1]

SHORT-FORM-RETRAIN.md §10.3, pooling every condition and binning by achieved type-token ratio. The 0.568 sub-label on the 0.55–0.60 column is the baseline 600-word median from §10.4.

Detection is flat at 86–88% all the way down to 0.55, then falls away. The knee is bracketed between 0.55 and 0.46, and not located: the 0.46–0.50 bin holds 33 documents, which is barely above the floor this project applies, and one bin cannot pin a threshold. Below 0.46 the model is effectively blind.

06 / The correction

The correction the source made to itself

An earlier write-up of this work claimed that routine keyword repetition pushes machine text onto the human side. That claim is recorded as overstated, and the correction is worth more than the original claim.

At routine doses it does not happen. The moderate instruction strength, which produced genuinely realistic keyword-optimised copy, came in at 146/209 = 69.9% against a baseline of 582/816 = 71.3%, with confidence intervals overlapping — [63.3, 75.7] against [68.1, 74.3] — and only one of four length bands reaching p < 0.05. The heavy condition reached 31/194 = 16.0%, and getting there took an instruction to repeat a phrase 17 to 25 times in 400 to 600 words, which degraded the output badly enough that 19% of generations came back empty or too short to keep, against 13% in the moderate condition. It is an adversarial condition rather than a sample of ordinary copy.

Detection is unaffected by keyword repetition until type-token ratio falls below roughly 0.55, and collapses below roughly 0.46.

The narrower statement that survives the correction. Source: SHORT-FORM-RETRAIN.md §10.2 and §10.4, both measured at the retired 0.9845 maximum-only threshold.

Two things stop that being reassuring. Type-token ratio falls with length on its own, and the baseline 600-word median is already 0.568, just above the knee, so longer commercial copy drifts towards the cliff without anyone trying. At the ratio a real keyword-briefed article occupies the effect is measurable: pooled at 400 and 600 words in the 0.48–0.55 band, 103/136 = 75.7% against a matched-length baseline of 363/415 = 87.5%, z = −3.29, p = 0.001.

07 / The shipped pair

At the operating point that ships today

The whole keyword-repetition arm was re-scored at the shipped pair, so this section — and only this section — describes the tool as it runs now.

Measurement conditions

Corpus
432 machine documents in the keyword-repetition arm, fenced separately from ordinary short text in the source file for the same reason it is fenced here.
Operating point
0.9855 / 0.9763 · contract segments-v3 · T = 0.8324
Detector
tier3-cycle2-e5small-fp32.onnx, SHA-256 e313ab00de1fffd2…4d2788d
Runtime
Python onnxruntime 1.29.0, CPU, fp32
Measured
30 August 2026
Also
Compared against 816 ordinary short-form and 922 long-form machine documents scored at the same pair, on the same runtime, on the same day.
Figure 4 The same detector, the same operating point, three corpora Flagged when the strongest section reaches 0.9855 or the second-strongest reaches 0.9763, at T = 0.8324, segmentation contract segments-v3. Detector tier3-cycle2-e5small-fp32.onnx, SHA-256 e313ab00de1fffd2…4d2788d. Python onnxruntime 1.29.0, CPU, fp32. Measured 30 August 2026. Denominators printed under every column, Wilson 95% intervals on every bar. The three corpora differ in length distribution as well as in condition, so these bars are not a clean single-variable comparison: part of the gap is the keyword arm being shorter, not only its being keyword-dense.
Share of machine documents flagged at the shipped 0.9855 / 0.9763 pair, on three corpora 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Flagged 43.5% Keyword-repetition arm 188 / 432 69.4% Ordinary short-form 566 / 816 95.8% Long-form 883 / 922
Generated under a keyword-repetition instruction No repetition instruction
Detection on three corpora at the shipped operating point, with Wilson 95% intervals
CorpusFlaggedRate [95% CI]What it is
Keyword-repetition arm 188 / 432 43.5% [38.9–48.2] Generated to an instruction to repeat a keyword phrase. No matched human corpus exists.
Ordinary short-form 566 / 816 69.4% [66.1–72.4] Machine short-form with no repetition instruction.
Long-form 883 / 922 95.8% [94.3–96.9] The long-form machine corpus, which is longer than either arm above.

DETECTION-BY-LENGTH-AND-MODEL.md, Table 1 keyword-repetition arm and Table 2 short-form. No false-positive rate is printed for the keyword-repetition arm, because there is no matched human keyword-repetition corpus.

The length gradient survives the condition. Within the keyword arm detection rises from 14.0% at 100–199 words to 62.2% at 600–849, and every band sits well below its ordinary-text counterpart. Which model wrote the text makes no material difference: gpt-5.6-sol 88/199 = 44.2% [37.5–51.2], gpt-5.6-luna 100/233 = 42.9% [36.7–49.3].

The keyword-repetition arm by length band at the shipped operating point
WordsMachine flaggedDetection rate [95% CI]
Under 100 words2 / 16n below 30, no rate quoted
100–1998 / 5714.0% [7.3–25.3]
200–2993 / 9n below 30, no rate quoted
300–39961 / 13644.9% [36.7–53.2]
400–59958 / 12446.8% [38.2–55.5]
600–84956 / 9062.2% [51.9–71.5]
All lengths188 / 43243.5% [38.9–48.2]

432 machine documents, flagged at 0.9855 / 0.9763, T = 0.8324, segments-v3, Python onnxruntime 1.29.0, CPU, fp32, measured 30 August 2026. Bands holding fewer than 30 documents get their count and no rate.

There is no matched human keyword-repetition corpus.

The human side of this axis has never been generated. Everything above reports machine detection under the condition and says nothing at all about false positives under it, so no false-positive rate for keyword-dense copy is printed anywhere on this page. That is a gap in the measurement, not an omission from the write-up, and it is the single figure a reader is most likely to want and least able to get here.

08 / Who is at risk

Which human writers the model leans towards

The same probe run from the other direction answers the question for the human population. Correlating the deployed model’s raw margin against each interpretable feature within human documents only, so the result is not simply restating the label, across 4,184 documents.

Spearman correlation between the model's raw margin and each feature, within human documents only
FeatureSpearman ρ
Discourse markers+0.368
Short words−0.362
Mean word length+0.359
Long words+0.300
Burstiness of sentence length−0.264

4,184 human documents. Source: SIGNAL-SCIENCE.md §4.3.

That column describes formal, long-worded, evenly paced prose that signposts itself: academic and corporate writing.

It matches the measured fact that academic discussion carries the second-highest human false-positive rate of any content type at the shipped pair, 8/420 = 1.9%, behind fiction at 23/260 = 8.8%. Source: DETECTION-BY-LENGTH-AND-MODEL.md Table 3.

09 / Limits

What this does not prove

Ablation shows sensitivity, not mechanism. A large score shift proves the model responds to the property that was manipulated; it does not prove that property is the model’s reason. Flattening the rhythm is the clearest case. It moves the score furthest at −43.2 points, and it also produces text unlike anything in any training distribution, so the shift may be a distribution-shift artefact rather than evidence about rhythm. The source declines to draw the obvious conclusion from it, and so does this page.

The repetition arm used two models, both from one provider, and was not tested across providers. The descriptive finding underneath it is weakest on Meta’s models, with MATTR at 0.562 and adjacent-sentence cohesion at 0.561, and only moderate on Nvidia’s at 0.633 and 0.694. By register it is weakest on creative writing (0.668) and social posts (0.658).

Every figure on this page is fp32 through Python onnxruntime. The repetition findings have not been confirmed on the browser runtime, and no browser figure is quoted here.

The keyword-repetition corpus is a generated adversarial condition. Its absolute rates describe documents written to an instruction to repeat a phrase, not a sample of published commercial copy, and the two should not be conflated even though the second drifts towards the first as it gets longer.

The long-form corpus is not fully held out.

268 of its 922 machine documents also sit in the cycle-2 training dataset, 168 of them in the train split. The human half is effectively clean at 11 of 4,636. That matters for the detector measurements on this page, which are model outputs rather than feature statistics, and it is the reason no figure here is described as being drawn from documents no model has seen.

Two of the three lines of evidence on this page were measured at flag points that no longer ship.

The ablation at 0.984 and the type-token-ratio bins at 0.9845. Neither has been re-run at the shipped 0.9855 / 0.9763 pair, so their absolute rates should not be quoted as the tool’s current performance under any of those conditions.

10 / The commercial consequence

What follows commercially

The tool degrades on precisely the kind of copy its commercial users produce on purpose, once that copy is long enough and keyword-focused enough to push type-token ratio below about 0.55. That weakness is published here with its denominator rather than buried, under the same rule that governs every other weakness in this project.

It will also be shared by competitors, because it follows from the signal the whole field relies on rather than from anything specific to this implementation. Any detector reading under-repetition as its principal axis has the same cliff underneath it, whether or not it has been measured.

11 / Provenance

Where every figure came from

Source file and section for every figure on this page
FigureFileSection
2.1% against 6.3% adjacent-sentence overlap; MATTR 0.911 / 47.3%; the seven-signal tablesignal-science/SIGNAL-SCIENCE.md§2
Ablation table, 400 + 400, at the retired 0.984 single thresholdSIGNAL-SCIENCE.md§4.1
Within-human correlations, n = 4,184SIGNAL-SCIENCE.md§4.3
Meta 0.562 / 0.561, Nvidia 0.633 / 0.694, creative 0.668, social 0.658SIGNAL-SCIENCE.md§2.3, §2.5
Type-token-ratio bins at the retired 0.9845 point; 69.9% against 71.3%; 103/136 against 363/415, p = 0.001; 0.568 median; 19% unusable; the two-model limitdocs/measurements/SHORT-FORM-RETRAIN.md§10.2, §10.3, §10.4, §10.5, §10.8
188/432 = 43.5% and every length band, at 0.9855 / 0.9763; 566/816; 883/922; per-model 88/199 and 100/233docs/measurements/DETECTION-BY-LENGTH-AND-MODEL.mdTable 1 keyword-repetition arm, Table 2 short-form
Academic discussion 8/420, fiction 23/260, at the shipped pairdocs/measurements/DETECTION-BY-LENGTH-AND-MODEL.mdTable 3

Every file named above ships with the open measurement repository, so any figure on this page can be re-run rather than taken on trust — including the two that were taken at retired flag points, which is how a reader can establish for themselves what the shipped pair would do with them.

Read on

Under-repetition is what the model reads. The folk signals are what people think it reads.